Natural Gas Forward Curve Sell-Off Signals Summer is Dunzo
The natural gas market has tossed on a light sweater and officially turned the page on summer, sending prices lower across the forward curve, according to NGI’s Forward Look.
The natural gas market has tossed on a light sweater and officially turned the page on summer, sending prices lower across the forward curve, according to NGI’s Forward Look.
Natural gas forward basis prices slumped during the July 25-31 trading period, weighed down by a cooling August forecast, robust production and stubbornly high storage inventories. September basis dropped by an average 7.5 cents through the period, with the western United States leading the declines, according to NGI’s Forward Look.
Natural gas forwards advanced across portions of the East from June 13-18, bolstered by sweltering forecasts and a new pipeline expanding the reach of Appalachian Basin gas, according to NGI’s Forward Look.
Natural gas forwards rallied during the May 9-15 trading period as the market keyed in on the upside potential of summer power burns.
North American natural gas forwards rallied across the 2024 strip during the May 2-8 trading period as sagging production readings and an incrementally supportive LNG export outlook stirred bullish optimism.
Against a backdrop of soft near-term fundamentals, exceptionally weak spot market pricing and plummeting Nymex futures, regional natural gas forwards came under widespread bearish pressure during the March 7-13 trading period, NGI’s Forward Look data show.
Regional natural gas forwards generally pushed higher at the front of the curve during the Feb. 29-March 6 trading period as ebbing production strengthened the price outlook for a market dealing with excess supply exiting winter, NGI’s Forward Look data show.
A wave of bullish optimism, tied to the production cuts announced recently by Chesapeake Energy Corp., also lifted regional natural gas forwards higher during the Feb. 15-21 trading period, NGI’s Forward Look data show.
Regional natural gas forward prices came under bearish pressure across the curve during the Jan. 25-31 trading period as recovering production volumes and blowtorch winter temperatures foreshadowed excess supply heading into the upcoming injection season.
Natural gas forwards retreated during the Jan. 11-17 trading period as impacts to both supply and demand from recent Arctic weather began to subside and as a much milder late January pattern came into sharper focus.